Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 3.965846 4.729170 5.579440 6.593806 7.767863 9.080785 10.656799
2025-08-24 2.869476 3.847838 5.050640 6.625821 8.620466 11.047154 14.206014
2025-08-31 2.202083 3.258084 4.666639 6.655752 9.360199 12.872466 17.735198
2025-09-07 1.725103 2.783806 4.300007 6.583891 9.880414 14.399128 20.977650
2025-09-14 1.325185 2.320137 3.842305 6.274494 9.979051 15.306167 23.410583
2025-09-21 1.090284 2.053600 3.616245 6.245199 10.439418 16.721574 26.639867
2025-09-28 0.907895 1.832305 3.416272 6.210988 10.862138 18.089559 29.884560
2025-10-05 0.831446 1.779555 3.480935 6.604285 11.986703 20.605382 35.053569
2025-10-12 0.738303 1.675957 3.437556 6.800002 12.794320 22.675016 39.670469
2025-10-19 0.670772 1.608486 3.446508 7.082244 13.766196 25.074686 44.978596
2025-10-26 0.581610 1.477908 3.314622 7.084868 14.238982 26.669616 49.065438
2025-11-02 0.482565 1.304590 3.070332 6.838436 14.227503 27.423776 51.774583
2025-11-09 0.398903 1.150099 2.843839 6.604120 14.226567 28.218958 54.660490
2025-11-16 0.346351 1.059145 2.738492 6.601527 14.666738 29.835490 59.104744
2025-11-23 0.303009 0.981606 2.650053 6.621272 15.148958 31.560386 63.856551
2025-11-30 0.260383 0.895447 2.526773 6.546836 15.428039 32.918157 68.018896
2025-12-07 0.212254 0.780605 2.313468 6.238174 15.181822 33.240606 70.257661
2025-12-14 0.184719 0.720106 2.225852 6.208794 15.526054 34.737880 74.820234
2025-12-21 0.160843 0.664608 2.141416 6.174692 15.853487 36.220046 79.440967
2025-12-28 0.155571 0.670271 2.224407 6.565943 17.173028 39.812150 88.429003
2026-01-04 0.143655 0.649606 2.230090 6.760651 18.057160 42.557729 95.879398
2026-01-11 0.135435 0.640332 2.267245 7.041451 19.166245 45.845265 104.606845
2026-01-18 0.120044 0.599348 2.203082 7.044060 19.612140 47.746379 110.600580